Cato Corporation Stock Performance

CATO Stock  USD 3.09  0.04  1.31%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.21, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Cato's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cato is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Cato has a negative expected return of -0.34%. Please make sure to confirm Cato's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Cato performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cato Corporation has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.29)
Five Day Return
(5.28)
Year To Date Return
1.67
Ten Year Return
(92.37)
All Time Return
(42.23)
Payout Ratio
330.5785
Last Split Factor
3:2
Dividend Date
2024-09-30
Ex Dividend Date
2024-09-16
Last Split Date
2005-06-28
1
Can The Cato Corporation stock maintain growth trajectory - Weekly Profit Analysis Free Expert Approved Momentum Trade Ideas - newser.com
11/10/2025
2
Is The Cato Corporation stock attractive for income investors - Quarterly Performance Summary Daily Volume Surge Signals - newser.com
11/13/2025
3
Can The Cato Corporation stock deliver strong annual returns - Dollar Strength Weekly Setup with ROI Potential - newser.com
11/19/2025
4
Cato Q3 2025 same-store sales up 10 percent as cash flow improves - Stock Titan
11/25/2025
5
Acquisition by Gordon Smith of 14365 shares of Cato subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
6
Cato Corp investor reports 899,000 shares, 4.99 percent of Class A - Stock Titan
12/16/2025
7
Is The Cato Corporation stock worth holding before Fed meeting - Stock Watchlist Updates Collaborate and Win Together - Bollywood Helpline
12/26/2025
8
Aug Spikes Is The Cato Corporation exposed to political risk - Weekly Trend Report Weekly Watchlist for Hot Stocks - baoquankhu1.vn
01/13/2026
9
Acquisition by Thomas Meckley of 4438 shares of Cato subject to Rule 16b-3
01/16/2026
10
Acquisition by Stephen Headley of 15225 shares of Cato subject to Rule 16b-3
01/21/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow27.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities29 M
Free Cash Flow-27.6 M

Cato Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  395.00  in Cato Corporation on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (86.00) from holding Cato Corporation or give up 21.77% of portfolio value over 90 days. Cato Corporation is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.4522% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 31% of stocks are less volatile than Cato, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cato is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.66 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Cato Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cato Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.09 90 days 3.09 
about 87.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cato to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.24 (This Cato Corporation probability density function shows the probability of Cato Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cato has a beta of 0.21 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cato average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cato Corporation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cato Corporation has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cato Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cato

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cato. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cato's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.153.096.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.606.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.856.33
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.9323.0025.53
Details

Cato Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cato is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cato's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cato Corporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cato within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Cato Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cato for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cato can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cato generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cato has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 649.81 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 213.63 M.
Cato Corporation currently holds about 153.59 M in cash with (19.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.67, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Stephen Headley of 15225 shares of Cato subject to Rule 16b-3

Cato Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cato Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cato's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cato's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments77.7 M

Cato Fundamentals Growth

Cato Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cato, and Cato fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cato Stock performance.

About Cato Performance

By examining Cato's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Cato's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Cato is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 81.52  57.98 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.05)(0.04)
Return On Capital Employed(0.09)(0.09)
Return On Assets(0.05)(0.04)
Return On Equity(0.11)(0.13)

Things to note about Cato performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cato for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cato help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cato generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cato has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 649.81 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 213.63 M.
Cato Corporation currently holds about 153.59 M in cash with (19.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.67, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Stephen Headley of 15225 shares of Cato subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating Cato's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cato's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cato's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cato's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cato's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cato's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cato's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cato's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cato's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cato's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cato's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Cato offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cato's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cato Corporation Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cato Corporation Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cato Corporation. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Will Specialty Retail sector continue expanding? Could Cato diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cato. Projected growth potential of Cato fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Cato data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
63.254
Earnings Share
(1.00)
Revenue Per Share
34.328
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.047
Return On Assets
(0.03)
The market value of Cato is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cato that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cato's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cato's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Cato's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cato's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Cato's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cato should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Cato's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.